Aiden Singh
Biography
Aiden Singh (derived from the Sanskrit siṃha meaning 'lion') is the CEO of the Lion group of enterprises, a real estate investor, global equities trader and investor, prediction market trader, writer, interviewer, and the founder and publisher of the Social Science Encyclopedia.
Real Estate
He is the founder and CEO of Lion Residences, a New York City-based residential real estate management company.
Prediction Markets
Aiden was a prediction market trader and has written about exploitable inefficiencies in the prediction markets which, coupled with leverage, allowed him to double his capital in a single set of trades.
Financial Markets
He is currently a global equities trader & investor.
He predicted the surge in the price of crude oil above $100/barrel from 2020-2022. Additionally, he exited the position before its subsequent fall back below $100.
He also anticipated and shorted the stock market crash of 2022. He is the author of three forthcoming articles on this market crash: The Meme Asset Frenzy, which details the inflating and bursting of a bubble in meme assets, Shorting A Speculative Bubble: Notes For My Future Self, which discusses the mechanics of shorting a bubble in practice, and a third as-yet untitled essay which discusses how he detected the presence of a bubble and the implications for economic methodology.
Writing
Aiden has written over 70 articles on economic and political philosophy, economics, finance, constitutional law, and history.
Publications
Prediction Markets
A screenshot of a false story run by One America News Network claiming Trump won the 2020 electoral college vote.
Evidence of Prediction Market Inefficiency From PredictIt’s 2020 U.S. Presidential Election Markets
I argue that persistent and exploitable pricing anomalies were present in PredictIt’s 2020 U.S. presidential election prediction markets. I claim that these pricing inefficiencies were the result of a subset of market participants acting on misinformation which erroneously led them to conclude that Donald Trump had won the election. I conclude by discussing the implications of traders struggling to correctly distinguish relevant information from misinformation for the efficient market hypothesis.
The Basics of PredictIt. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 23, 2020.
Economic Philosophy (Methodology)
Philosophy of Economics (Methodology) Timeline. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 19, 2020.
Colin Camerer on the Role of Neuroscience in Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. October 1, 2020
Definitions of Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 2, 2020.
Economic Imperialism. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 12, 2020.
Views on Economic Methodology (Table). Social Science Encyclopedia. June 8, 2020.
Edward Lazear on Economic Methodology. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 16, 2020.
Friedrich Hayek’s The Pretence of Knowledge. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 6, 2020.
John Stuart Mill’s On the Definition of Political Economy and Method of Investigation Proper to It. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 26, 2020.
Lionel Robbins’ Scarcity Definition of Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. September 8, 2020.
Milton Friedman On Economic Methodology. Social Science Encyclopedia. April 21, 2020.
Business
CEO, Lion Realty
CEO, Lion Capital
CEO, Lion Media
CEO, Lion IP
Education
M.Sc. Neuroscience, University College London
M.Sc. Political Science & Political Economy, London School of Economics (LSE)
M.S. Computer Science, Hofstra University
B.A. Natural Sciences (Neuroscience & Computer Science), Hofstra University
B.S. Mathematical Business Economics, Hofstra University
Fields
Philosophy
Economics
Finance
Law
History
Topics
Prediction Markets
Market Inefficiencies
Speculative Bubbles
Financial Crises
History of Economic Thought
Economic Methodology
Paul Krugman on Mathematics in Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 19, 2020.
Robert Shiller’s Views On Economic Methodology. Social Science Encyclopedia. June 1, 2020.
William Stanley Jevons (Timeline). Social Science Encyclopedia. February 2, 2021.
William Stanley Jevons’ A Brief Account of a General Mathematical Theory of Political Economy (1862). Social Science Encyclopedia. February 2, 2021.
Political Philosophy
Libertarian Paternalism. Social Science Encyclopedia. December 9, 2019.
Correspondence Between Albert Einstein & Sigmund Freud on War and Human Nature. Social Science Encyclopedia. June 2, 2020.
Microeconomics
Behavioral Economics. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 27, 2020.
Rational Choice Theory & Homo Economicus. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 20, 2020.
International Economics & Finance
Saudi Arabian Riyal. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 17, 2020.
Singapore Dollar. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 17, 2020.
The Theory of Optimal Currency Areas. Social Science Encyclopedia. December 9, 2020.
History of Economic Thought
John Maynard Keynes’ Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren. Social Science Encyclopedia. December 9, 2020.
William Stanley Jevons (Works). Social Science Encyclopedia. February 2020.
Finance
Types of Stock Market Orders. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 23, 2020.
I Jailbroke ChatGPT And Asked It How To Beat The Market. Here’s What It Said. Social Science Encyclopedia. April 28, 2023.
Macroeconomics
Hyman Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 10, 2020.
American History
Fort Monroe. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.
The Battle Over Alexander Hamilton’s Plan for Assumption of States’ Debts. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.
Bank of the United States. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 10, 2020.
Baltimore. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.
Thomas Paine’s Common Sense. Social Science Encyclopedia. June 18, 2020.
Fort York. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 10, 2020.
Fort McHenry. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.
Hampton, Virginia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.
New Amsterdam. Social Science Encyclopedia. April 7, 2021.
Old Town, Virginia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.
New York City. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.
Richmond, Virginia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.
The World’s First Skyscrapers. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.
War of 1812. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.
Washington, D.C. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.
The White House of the Confederacy. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 18, 2020.
When New York City Was America’s Capital. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.
Virginia State Capital Building. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.
How Washington D.C. Became America’s Capital. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.
Philadelphia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 29, 2020.
L’Enfant & the Designing of Washington D.C. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.
Federal Hall. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.
British History
When John Stuart Mill Cited William Stanley Jevons in the House of Commons. Social Science Encyclopedia. January 24, 2021.
Canadian History
Jacques Cartier. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.
Caribbean History
Timeline: Caribbean Political & Economic Integration. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.
American Constitutional Law
The Necessary and Proper Clause of the U.S. Constitution & the Doctrine of Implied Powers. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.
US Federal Government: Executive Branch. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.
US Federal Government: Legislative Branch. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.
US Federal Government: Judicial Branch. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 15, 2020.
War Powers (U.S.). Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.
Impeachment (U.S.). Social Science Encyclopedia. January 11, 2021.
The Federalist Papers on Impeachment. Social Science Encyclopedia. January 19, 2021.
Lobbyist Disclosure Forms (U.S.). Social Science Encyclopedia. February 11, 2020.
U.S. Code. Social Science Encyclopedia. February 11, 2021.
Private Laws vs. Public Laws (U.S.). Social Science Encyclopedia. July 22, 2020.
Pardon Powers. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 28, 2020.
Federal Statute. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 22, 2020.
What is the Emoluments Clause? Social Science Encyclopedia. July 19, 2020.
Electoral College. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.
12th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 26, 2020.
Caribbean Constitutional Law
Parliament of Saint Lucia. Social Science Encyclopedia. July 10, 2020.
Interviews Published
Economics & Finance
Jochen Runde On Uncertainty, Probability, And Heuristics. Social Science Encyclopedia. February 17, 2024
Saule Omarova On The Weaknesses Of The Current Banking System & Her Proposal For A ‘People’s Ledger’. Social Science Encyclopedia. November 2, 2023
Roger Backhouse On Robbins, Keynes, Samuelson, & The Relationship Between Economics And The Other Social Sciences. Social Science Encyclopedia. September 8, 2023
Robert Guttmann On The Collapse of Credit Suisse, AT1 Bonds, And The Dilemma Central Banks Are Facing. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 30, 2023.
Willem Buiter On Inflation, The Ongoing Banking Panic, And What Central Banks Should Do Now. Social Science Encyclopedia. March 18, 2023.
Koichi Hamada On ‘Abenomics,’ The Asia-Pacific Security Situation, And Inflation. Social Science Encyclopedia. February 24, 2023.
Robert Guttmann, Daniel S. Hamermesh, Ranjan Ray, Andrew Zimbalist, Jan Brueckner, Paul De Grauwe, Willem Buiter, Ananish Chaudhuri, Nicholas Barr, Andrew Rose, Charles Engel, Shaun Hargreaves Heap, Carol Alexander, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Charles Goodhart, Charles Bean, Viral Acharya, Richard Sylla, Andrea Ferrero
Philosophy
Sheila Dow, Robert Sugden, Neil McDonnell, Nathan Wildman
Political Science
Kevin Featherstone On The State Of The West & The Upcoming Greek Election. Social Science Encyclopedia. May 16, 2023.
Carlo Rasmus Schwarz, Kevin Featherstone, Rohan Mukherjee
Psychology
History
Other Positions
Economic Research Intern, United Nations Department of Economic & Social Affairs (November 2016 - January 2017)
Intern, New York Congressional District 4 (September 2016 - October 2016)